Fig. 4

A Nomogram for predicting the probability of 10-year survival. The top horizontal line is the score column, where the total score summed item by item corresponds to the corresponding 10-year probability of survival according to the score of each item. In the sex groups, 0 means “women,” and 1 means “men.” In the CVD, DM, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia groups, 0 means “no,” and 1 means “yes.” In the smoking group, 0 indicates “never,” 1 indicates “former,” and 2 indicates “current.” In the race group, 0 indicates “non-Hispanic white people,” 1 indicates “non-Hispanic black people,” 2 indicates “Mexican American,” and 3 indicates “other races.” B Nomogram predicting the ROC curve for 10-year survival in the obese population. C Calibration curves predicting 10-year survival in the obese population. The x-axis is the predicted probability, and the y-axis is the observed probability. The red line is the ideal prediction model, where the predicted outcome is consistent with the observed outcome. The black line is the predicted outcome of the nomogram. D Decision curve analysis describing the net clinical benefit. Green line = net benefit when all participants are not intervened. Redline = net benefit where all participants will be subjected to the intervention. Blue line = predicted outcome of the nomogram